According to The Guardian, new Reuters/Ipsos polling puts Trump's approval at 32%, his weakest showing to date. The decline is sharpest among independents and Latino voters, two groups critical to Republican midterm survival. An NBC News/Telemundo poll found just 24% approval among Hispanic Americans, while 59% of Latino voters prefer Democratic control of Congress.
Approval numbers bounce. Coalition fractures don't. When Republicans lose independents and Latino voters at the same time, this becomes a structural problem for House and Senate candidates fighting for suburban districts and statewide races where those voters decide outcomes.
Read this as a warning about voter permission, not Trump's mood. Presidents survive bad numbers for stretches. Parties heading into a midterm cannot, especially when the damage is concentrated in the swing blocs that decide close races. Every Republican candidate trying to make this a local contest instead of a referendum on the top of the ticket should be watching these numbers closely.
Filed to the World desk · Yesterday